Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-12-31, Madison Square Garden were:
Twist (10, 5.8 shows)
Character Zero (9, 5.9 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (8, 5.2 shows)
Sand (8, 5 shows)
Harry Hood (8, 5.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (8, 7.8 shows)
Down with Disease (7, 6.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 8.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (7, 9.2 shows)
The Moma Dance (7, 5.5 shows)
What's the Use? (6, 9.2 shows)
Mercury (6, 8.9 shows)
Steam (6, 7.8 shows)
Soul Planet (6, 10.8 shows)
Simple (5, 7.3 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 8 shows)
Ocelot (5, 13.1 shows)
Roggae (5, 12.5 shows)
555 (5, 11.3 shows)
Piper (5, 7.5 shows)
Golden Age (5, 8.6 shows)
Julius (5, 14.6 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (4, 12.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 11.3 shows)
Miss You (4, 19.2 shows)
Bug (4, 11.9 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 16.6 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 6.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 9.6 shows)
Meatstick (4, 20.8 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 14.6 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (4, 11.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 9.2 shows)
Joy (4, 17.8 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 11.3 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (3, 10.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 54% of the actual 28-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!


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